After the USA was drawn into the “Group of Death”, I wondered how many points the USA would need to be relatively assured of making it out of the group. So I wrote a little Python script to do the calculation, and the answer is below:
Basically, 5 points (1 win, 2 draws) means you’re almost guaranteed to get out of the group, while 4 points (1 win, 1 draw) means you have around a 50-50 shot.
So…now I know! And so do you!